Iran Announces Nuclear Expansion
Ahmadinejad could best be described as "psyched" to announce Iran's opening of a 3,000 centrifuge enrichment plant, which increases their nuclear production capability by almost 10 fold. This is yet more evidence that, while the international community is quite certain that Iran will produce nuclear weapons (and I agree with that assessment), no one is going to stop Iran's nuclear progress.
After our failure in Iraq, the US has lost the international (and domestic) credibility to successfully intervene militarily in Iran. Our military options are limited. 1) An invasion is too costly and, unless we were willing to became a permanent occupying power, it would not be a long term solution. 2) We could turn Iran into a parking lot, but I need not dwell on the ethics of such a decision. 3) We could launch a limited strike on their production facilities, but we could not be sure of hitting all of them and this would only escalate the situation; unfortunately, in a crisis situation, or a confrontational stand-off with the West, I have little faith in Iran's restraint in using nuclear weapons, particularly by giving them to terrorist organizations.
Diplomatic solutions will almost certainly not stop Iran's nuclear ambition. It is unlikely they would trust a US security guarantee. The Iraq invasion taught Iran that nuclear weapons are the only deterrent against US military might.
If we do not attack, we are left to build better relations with yet another nuclear power. I have enough faith in humanity to believe that we can resolve our differences; however, failure to calm Iran's passions and control their nuclear power, could have far worse consequences for the future.
It is not an easy decision to make.
Posted by Peter
posted by PWN at 10:04 AM
1 Comments:
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